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Posted by Mike McKim on October 20, 2004

What am I to do?

***** Hand History for Game 1079559435 *****
15/30 TourneyTexasHTGameTable (NL) (Tournament 6613701) - Wed Oct 20 01:53:44 EDT 2004
Table Table 11474 (Real Money) -- Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 7
Seat 1: HIEONE (635)
Seat 2: krunk_outz (670)
Seat 3: McKim (2840)
Seat 5: Shagginwagin (960)
Seat 6: JoeyDubz11 (740)
Seat 8: Pet4h (725)
Seat 9: spdrman74 (1430)
Shagginwagin posts small blind (10)
JoeyDubz11 posts big blind (15)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to McKim [ Qc, Jh ]
spdrman74: anyone have diaomonds?
Pet4h folds.
spdrman74 calls (15)
HIEONE folds.
krunk_outz folds.
McKim calls (15)
Shagginwagin raises (50) to 60
JoeyDubz11 folds.
spdrman74 calls (45)
McKim calls (45)
** Dealing Flop ** : [ As, Kc, Ts ]
Shagginwagin bets (200)
spdrman74 raises (1300) to 1300
McKim raises (2780) to 2780
McKim is all-In.
Shagginwagin calls (700)
Shagginwagin is all-In.
spdrman74 calls (70)
spdrman74 is all-In.
** Dealing Turn ** : [ 4s ]
** Dealing River ** : [ Ah ]
Creating Main Pot with $2895 with Shagginwagin
Creating Side Pot 1 with $940 with spdrman74
Creating Side Pot 2 with $1410 with McKim
** Summary **
Main Pot: 2895 | Side Pot 1: 940 | Side Pot 2: 1410
Board: [ As Kc Ts 4s Ah ]
HIEONE balance 635, didn't bet (folded)
krunk_outz balance 670, didn't bet (folded)
McKim balance 1410, bet 2840, collected 1410, lost -1430 [ Qc Jh ] [ a straight, ten to ace -- As,Kc,Qc,Jh,Ts ]
Shagginwagin balance 2895, bet 960, collected 2895, net +1935 [ Ac Ad ] [ four of a kind, aces -- Ac,Ad,As,Ah,Kc ]
JoeyDubz11 balance 725, lost 15 (folded)
Pet4h balance 725, didn't bet (folded)
spdrman74 balance 940, bet 1430, collected 940, lost -490 [ 2s Qs ] [ a flush, ace high -- As,Qs,Ts,4s,2s ]

I didn't want to fold the nuts at the time. I used a poker simulator to calculate the odds, turns out I was only 33.22% to win that hand. The Q2 was 25% and the AA was 35%. Very interesting.

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